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Classic Game Review: Speculator
“At 6:49 CST, Hong Kong Gold reports that gold is weaker against the US dollar.” You hurriedly call your broker and place an order to sell gold “short” (that is, sell gold that you don’t currently have on the assumption that you can purchase it at a lower price before you have to “deliver”). In SPECULATOR, you get a chance to interpret news reports and evaluate their impact on market conditions. Unlike many simulations that reflect price changes over weekly or monthly periods, SPECULATOR actually puts you in the hole. It simulates “real time” trading with a scale of 1 game minute equal to 6 minutes of “real time”. The graphics even allow you the privilege of seeing your broker answer the phone and see the floor broker move to the appropriate post to place your order on the floor of the exchange.
The realism used in this simulation is amazing. One is able to buy at the current market value; Buy below market value using MIT. (Market if Touched – becomes an active market order when a certain price is reached) order; sell at predetermined MIT. Order; sell at a given price OB (or better – will sell at a given price or a higher price); sell short; use a spread order (simultaneous sale and purchase of related related contracts); through GTC (Good till Canceled – the order remains with the specialist on the exchange floor until a certain price or contingency is reached), OCO (One Cancels Other – an offsetting mechanism where if one part of the order is filled, the other part is cancelled) orders; and has the flexibility to execute orders at the immediate beginning of the trade (On Open) or at the end of the session (On Close).
The effect of all these options (although not all of them are immediately available to the first level or “novice” player and must be earned as a performance bonus as the player improves to “speculator” and “floor trader”) is to give the player a more intimate understanding of the mechanics of the futures markets. It also seems to allow the player to feel more “in charge” of the situation as they are able to communicate precise terms for the investment.
It is also a multiplayer simulation and one of the few “realistic” simulations based on actual market conditions to allow this. TYCOON reflects actual market conditions and an excellent degree of realism, but only one investor can compete in the same market environment. In SPECULATOR, up to 6 players can compete simultaneously. However, this feature also poses a problem. It is very difficult for more than one player to use the keyboard at the same time. When the market is about to open, there is only one minute to enter orders “at the open” whether there is player 1 or 6. Moreover, since the market continues to move, even when one player is in a trading position, there is an inherent advantage in entering orders first. “Real time” at scale is an essential element to the feeling of being there inside the simulation, but either there needs to be another way to provide input from the players than from the keyboard or there needs to be a feature that allows “freezing” of “real time” until all players can enter their commands.
Another important factor is the data disk. Because the events, incidents, and price movements are matched to an actual 45-day profile of market conditions on three different exchanges (Chicago Board of Trade, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and New York Commodity Exchange), there is a significant correlation between the May orange juice. Does the first time you play the game and what May’s orange juice does every other time you play the game. In order to circumvent this tendency towards unity.
Software plans to market several different data disks to reflect different market histories. These will be a welcome addition to the game as it will keep the game fresh and playable. Despite the fact that SPECULATOR allows the investor to play much closer to the market than the nearest competitor, TYCOON.
However, it is more difficult to be a fundamentalist on SPECULATOR, as one only has a 30-day history chart to work from, from which TYCOON offered a yearly history of each commodity in graph form. It is easier to be a technician in SPECULATOR; However, because a buy-sell order can be placed immediately after news that will affect the underlying supply and demand for the commodity. For example, you read that meteorologists are predicting a severe winter on the East Coast (not an actual event). This indicates that there could be a freeze in Florida that will reduce the supply of orange juice. Reduced supply means increased demand, meaning higher future prices. Therefore, you want to buy orange juice futures before someone else can. TYCOON has a distinct advantage to follow the news, but the price swing has already started by the time the player reads about it. In SPECULATOR, the player has to move quickly before he loses the advantage that the news gives him/her.
SPECULATOR is the first investment program I’ve seen that eclipses the fine line of blue chip software investment simulations worth of instruction. The two documentation books packaged with the program (the game guide which explains everything from starting the program to how to place an order and the Market Reference guide – which explains everything from the size of the contract to factors affecting prices) are understandable and are a valuable resource for reviewing financial pages and/or publications distributed on by brokerage houses. Between the two booklets, almost every possible order is defined from both a real trading and game play perspective.
SPECULATOR compares favorably with any other investment simulation on the market to date. It is competitively priced for the base game and should be an especially worthwhile investment with the addition of new data discs. I look forward to the expected release of Stock Market Simulation in the near future.
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